Function assessPoliticalCapitalAtRisk

assessPoliticalCapitalAtRisk(
    actor: string,
    actorType: PoliticalActorType,
    currentCapital: number,
    riskDrivers: readonly PoliticalRiskDriver[],
    timeHorizon?: "week" | "month" | "year" | "quarter",
    confidenceInterval?: number,
): PoliticalCapitalAtRisk
Assess Political Capital at Risk (PCaR) for a named political actor. Adapted from ISMS Value at Risk: quantifies political capital exposure given observable risk drivers derived from parliamentary data.

Capital at Risk is estimated as: sum(driver contributions) * currentCapital / 100 clamped to [0, currentCapital].
Parameters
- actor: string
  Name or identifier of the political actor
- actorType: PoliticalActorType
  Type classification of the actor
- currentCapital: number
  Current political capital score (0–100)
- riskDrivers: readonly PoliticalRiskDriver[]
  List of risk drivers affecting this actor
- timeHorizon: "week" | "month" | "year" | "quarter" = 'quarter'
  Assessment time horizon
- confidenceInterval: number = 95
  Statistical confidence interval (e.g. 95)
Returns PoliticalCapitalAtRisk
Populated PoliticalCapitalAtRisk structure
- Defined in utils/political-risk-assessment.ts:274